Futures

Pacific Politics, Chinese Playbook

Expert participants roleplayed PRC officials across four Pacific scenarios — a Kanton Island lease, deep-sea mining competition, a Marshall Islands diplomatic switch, and a Bougainville crisis — to surface how Beijing calculates, where its red lines sit, and what the West should do about it.

Ukrainian Outcomes, Chinese Lessons

Three scenarios for how the Russia–Ukraine war ends — and what each teaches China about Taiwan.